Bias as Usual: Mistaking Luck for Skill

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As I ascended to the stage for my sales award, I glanced over to my sales manager.  It was hard not to crack a smile. There I was, six months at the company, with the skill to outperform people who were years my senior.

It went to my head. For the rest of that year, I didn’t hesitate to offer my opinion at sales meetings. I was all too happy to help others improve and, you know, be a bit more like me.

Little did I know, I was a text book example of someone with Illusory Superiority.  Otherwise known as the Dunning-Kruger Effect, it’s the tendency for unskilled people to overestimate their abilities.  In the years to come, I was to learn what I mistook for skill was a merely dose of good luck and timing. 

Oddly enough, this illusion of internal assessment can take place in reverse. Skilled people often underestimate their abilities compared to others.  Psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger demonstrated both sides of the phenomenon and published it in a study. They surmised that experienced people, knowing better their own limits, often take for granted the skills they use every day, ones that others may not possess.

So, how good are you? If your answer is relation to others, it pays to reconsider. You may be exaggerating due to the Dunning Kruger effect. Instead, why not make the unbiased choice to compare yesterday’s you to today’s?

Chris Pawar

Meaning2work.com